Excelsior vs Groningen — Eredivisie forecast, Sunday, 11 October 2026
Eredivisie·Sunday, 11 October 2026·14:45
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Excelsior | 2.51 |
| Draw | 3.62 |
| Groningen | 2.66 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 28 Sep · 04:02 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Excelsior
| 7 Aug | A | vs Cambuur | 4–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | H | vs PSV | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | vs Sparta Rotterdam | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Sept | A | vs Willem II | 3–0 | W |
| 8 Sept | A | vs NEC | 2–2 | D |
Groningen
| 9 Aug | H | vs Utrecht | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Aug | A | vs Den Haag | 4–1 | W |
| 23 Aug | A | vs PSV | 1–5 | L |
| 28 Aug | H | vs Fortuna Sittard | 2–3 | L |
| 6 Sept | H | vs Twente | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Excelsior (Home · 3 matches) | Groningen (Away · 3 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 100.0% | 66.7% |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.00 | 4.33 |
Home stats use Excelsior's home record; away stats use Groningen's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.