Ajax vs Heerenveen — Eredivisie result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 16 August 2026
Eredivisie·Sunday, 16 August 2026
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Ajax
| 9 Aug | A | vs PEC Zwolle | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | H | vs Heerenveen | 2–2 | D |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Telstar | 4–0 | W |
| 5 Sept | H | vs PSV | 1–3 | L |
| 12 Sept | A | vs Fortuna Sittard | 5–1 | W |
Heerenveen
| 9 Aug | H | vs Twente | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | A | vs Ajax | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Aug | H | vs PEC Zwolle | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Willem II | 2–2 | D |
| 6 Sept | H | vs AZ | 2–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Ajax (Home · 6 matches) | Heerenveen (Away · 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 83.3% | 60.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 66.7% | 80.0% |
| Clean sheet | 16.7% | 20.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.50 | 3.80 |
Home stats use Ajax's home record; away stats use Heerenveen's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.