Ajax vs Excelsior — Eredivisie forecast, Saturday, 19 September 2026
Eredivisie·Saturday, 19 September 2026
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Ajax
| 9 Aug | A | vs PEC Zwolle | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | H | vs Heerenveen | 2–2 | D |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Telstar | 4–0 | W |
| 5 Sept | H | vs PSV | 1–3 | L |
| 12 Sept | A | vs Fortuna Sittard | 5–1 | W |
Excelsior
| 7 Aug | A | vs Cambuur | 4–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | H | vs PSV | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | vs Sparta Rotterdam | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Sept | A | vs Willem II | 3–0 | W |
| 8 Sept | A | vs NEC | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Ajax (Home · 4 matches) | Excelsior (Away · 4 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 100.0% | 50.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | 50.0% |
| Avg goals | 4.50 | 3.75 |
Home stats use Ajax's home record; away stats use Excelsior's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.