Silkeborg vs Viborg — Danish Superliga result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 13 September 2026

Danish Superliga·Sunday, 13 September 2026

1 – 1

Metis pre-match forecast

Market-anchored distribution

Frozen as published · 27.6 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.

Silkeborg

27%

Draw

22%

result

Viborg

50%

top pick

Final score

1–1

Top pick missed

Metis gave the draw 22.4% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Viborg win. Expected goals 1.21–1.78 against 1–1 actual.

Forecast against the result

Over 2.5 goals58%2 scored
Both teams score58%yes
Silkeborg clean sheet17%no
Viborg clean sheet30%no
Silkeborg score 2+34%no
Viborg score 2+53%no

How this forecast scored

Ranked probability score0.1643
1X2 Brier score0.9313
Probability on the result22.4%

Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.

Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (10.5%), 1–2 (9.5%), 0–2 (8.2%). It finished 1–1 — one of them.

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Silkeborg

27 JulAvs Randers1–1D
2 AugHvs FC Copenhagen1–3L
10 AugHvs Odense1–0W
16 AugAvs FC Nordsjaelland0–1L
24 AugAvs Brondby1–3L

Viborg

24 JulHvs Odense1–0W
2 AugAvs Brondby0–1L
7 AugAvs Sonderjyske0–0D
14 AugHvs AGF2–1W
23 AugHvs FC Copenhagen4–0W

Head to head

No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.

Model context

StatSilkeborg
(Home · 6 matches)
Viborg
(Away · 6 matches)
BTTS rate83.3%50.0%
Over 2.5 rate33.3%33.3%
Clean sheet16.7%33.3%
Avg goals2.832.17

Home stats use Silkeborg's home record; away stats use Viborg's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.