Silkeborg vs Midtjylland — Danish Superliga result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 30 August 2026

Danish Superliga·Sunday, 30 August 2026

Metis pre-match forecast

Market-anchored distribution

Frozen as published · 4.1 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.

Silkeborg

14%

Draw

18%

result

Midtjylland

67%

top pick

Final score

1–1

Top pick missed

Metis gave the draw 18.3% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Midtjylland win. Expected goals 0.96–2.11 against 1–1 actual.

Forecast against the result

Over 2.5 goals60%2 scored
Both teams score55%yes
Silkeborg clean sheet11%no
Midtjylland clean sheet38%no
Silkeborg score 2+25%no
Midtjylland score 2+64%no

How this forecast scored

Ranked probability score0.2367
1X2 Brier score1.1409
Probability on the result18.3%

Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.

Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–2 (11.9%), 0–2 (11.1%), 0–1 (10.5%). It finished 1–1.

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Silkeborg

27 JulAvs Randers1–1D
2 AugHvs FC Copenhagen1–3L
10 AugHvs Odense1–0W
16 AugAvs FC Nordsjaelland0–1L
24 AugAvs Brondby1–3L

Midtjylland

26 JulAvs Sonderjyske3–2W
2 AugHvs Horsens2–1W
16 AugAvs Lyngby1–1D
23 AugHvs Randers1–0W
30 AugAvs Silkeborg1–1D

Head to head

No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.

Model context

StatSilkeborg
(Home · 4 matches)
Midtjylland
(Away · 5 matches)
BTTS rate75.0%80.0%
Over 2.5 rate25.0%20.0%
Clean sheet25.0%20.0%
Avg goals2.252.60

Home stats use Silkeborg's home record; away stats use Midtjylland's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.