🇩🇰 Danish Superliga·Sunday, 30 August 2026·12:00
Odds comparison
| Market | Pinnacle | Best |
|---|---|---|
| Silkeborg | 5.73 | 5.73 |
| Draw | 4.92 | 4.92 |
| Midtjylland | 1.50 | 1.50 |
Metis Forecast
model + marketSilkeborg
16%
Draw
19%
Midtjylland
65%
Silkeborg 1.00 xGexpected goals2.09 xG Midtjylland
Midtjylland win 65% of the current Metis Forecast.
Both teams score in 56% of simulations.
The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (11.4%).
Silkeborg score at least twice in 26%; Midtjylland in 63%.
1–2 11.4%0–2 10.5%0–1 9.8%1–1 8.9%1–3 7.4%0–3 6.8%
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.6 | 9.9 | 10.5 | 6.8 | 3.3 | 1.8 |
| 1 | 3.6 | 8.9 | 11.4 | 7.4 | 3.6 | 2.0 |
| 2 | 2.3 | 4.5 | 4.4 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.1 |
| 3 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.4 |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
rows = Silkeborg goals · columns = Midtjylland goals · % of simulations
Match outcomes
Both teams score56%
Over 1.5 goals82%
Over 2.5 goals60%
Over 3.5 goals37%
Over 4.5 goals20%
Silkeborg clean sheet12%
Midtjylland clean sheet37%
Silkeborg score 2+26%
Midtjylland score 2+63%
Silkeborg score 3+8%
Model vs market
| Source | Silkeborg | Draw | Midtjylland |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 19% | 24% | 58% |
| Market (de-vigged) | 16% | 19% | 65% |
| Metis Forecast | 16% | 19% | 65% |
The Metis Forecast combines the model's scoreline structure with de-vigged market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model output is kept separate and benchmarked independently.
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Silkeborg
| 27 Jul | A | vs Randers | 1–1 | D |
| 2 Aug | H | vs FC Copenhagen | 1–3 | L |
| 10 Aug | H | vs Odense | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | A | vs FC Nordsjaelland | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Aug | A | vs Brondby | 1–3 | L |
Midtjylland
| 26 Jul | A | vs Sonderjyske | 3–2 | W |
| 2 Aug | H | vs Horsens | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Aug | A | vs Lyngby | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Aug | H | vs Randers | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings found.
Model context
| Stat | Silkeborg (Home) | Midtjylland (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 50.0% | 100.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Clean sheet | 50.0% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 2.50 | 3.50 |
Home stats use Silkeborg's home record; away stats use Midtjylland's away record this season.