Silkeborg vs FC Nordsjaelland — Danish Superliga forecast, Sunday, 25 October 2026
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Silkeborg
21%
Draw
21%
FC Nordsjaelland
58%
Expected goals
1.09–1.87
Silkeborg · FC Nordsjaelland
FC Nordsjaelland win 58% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–2 (11.2%), 1–1 (10.1%), 0–1 (10.0%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 57% of simulations.
Those three cover 31% of outcomes; the other 69% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Silkeborg score at least twice in 30%; FC Nordsjaelland in 57%.
Scoreline distribution
FC Nordsjaelland goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.3 | 10.0 | 9.6 | 5.5 | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 | 4.7 | 10.1 | 11.2 | 6.5 | 2.8 | 1.3 |
| 2 | 3.2 | 5.5 | 4.7 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 3 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Silkeborg goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 25% | 25% | 50% |
| Market reference | 21% | 21% | 58% |
| Metis Forecast | 21% | 21% | 58% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Silkeborg
| 27 Jul | A | vs Randers | 1–1 | D |
| 2 Aug | H | vs FC Copenhagen | 1–3 | L |
| 10 Aug | H | vs Odense | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | A | vs FC Nordsjaelland | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Aug | A | vs Brondby | 1–3 | L |
FC Nordsjaelland
| 26 Jul | A | vs Horsens | 1–1 | D |
| 2 Aug | H | vs Randers | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | H | vs Silkeborg | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Aug | A | vs Sonderjyske | 3–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Brondby | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
| 16 Aug 26 | NordsjaellandvsSilkeborg | 1 – 0 |
Silkeborg: 0W 0D 1L in last 1
Model context
| Stat | Silkeborg (Home · 5 matches) | FC Nordsjaelland (Away · 6 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 80.0% | 66.7% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 40.0% | 66.7% |
| Clean sheet | 20.0% | 16.7% |
| Avg goals | 3.00 | 3.67 |
Home stats use Silkeborg's home record; away stats use FC Nordsjaelland's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.