Randers vs Odense — Danish Superliga result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 13 September 2026

Danish Superliga·Sunday, 13 September 2026

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Metis pre-match forecast

Market-anchored distribution

Frozen as published · 29.6 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.

Randers

45%

top pick

Draw

26%

Odense

29%

result

Final score

1–2

Top pick missed

Metis gave an Odense win 28.7% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Randers win. Expected goals 1.58–1.31 against 1–2 actual.

Forecast against the result

Over 2.5 goals55%3 scored
Both teams score59%yes
Randers clean sheet27%no
Odense clean sheet20%no
Randers score 2+48%no
Odense score 2+37%yes

How this forecast scored

Ranked probability score0.3561
1X2 Brier score0.7808
Probability on the result28.7%

Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.

Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (12.3%), 2–1 (10.4%), 1–0 (8.8%). It finished 1–2.

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Randers

27 JulHvs Silkeborg1–1D
2 AugAvs FC Nordsjaelland0–1L
9 AugHvs Lyngby2–0W
16 AugHvs FC Copenhagen0–4L
23 AugAvs Midtjylland0–1L

Odense

24 JulAvs Viborg0–1L
3 AugHvs Sonderjyske1–0W
10 AugAvs Silkeborg0–1L
16 AugHvs Horsens1–2L
23 AugAvs AGF2–2D

Head to head

No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.

Model context

StatRanders
(Home · 7 matches)
Odense
(Away · 7 matches)
BTTS rate57.1%57.1%
Over 2.5 rate57.1%28.6%
Clean sheet14.3%14.3%
Avg goals2.861.86

Home stats use Randers's home record; away stats use Odense's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.