Randers vs FC Nordsjaelland — Danish Superliga forecast, Sunday, 8 November 2026
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Randers
20%
Draw
22%
FC Nordsjaelland
58%
Expected goals
1.11–1.86
Randers · FC Nordsjaelland
FC Nordsjaelland win 58% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–2 (11.8%), 1–1 (10.2%), 0–1 (10.2%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 58% of simulations.
Those three cover 32% of outcomes; the other 68% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Randers score at least twice in 30%; FC Nordsjaelland in 57%.
Scoreline distribution
FC Nordsjaelland goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.3 | 10.2 | 9.4 | 5.2 | 2.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 | 4.2 | 10.2 | 11.8 | 6.5 | 2.7 | 1.2 |
| 2 | 3.1 | 5.1 | 4.9 | 4.1 | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| 3 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Randers goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 28% | 26% | 46% |
| Market reference | 20% | 22% | 58% |
| Metis Forecast | 20% | 22% | 58% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Randers | 4.59 |
| Draw | 4.29 |
| FC Nordsjaelland | 1.67 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 02 Nov · 05:06 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Randers
| 27 Jul | H | vs Silkeborg | 1–1 | D |
| 2 Aug | A | vs FC Nordsjaelland | 0–1 | L |
| 9 Aug | H | vs Lyngby | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | H | vs FC Copenhagen | 0–4 | L |
| 23 Aug | A | vs Midtjylland | 0–1 | L |
FC Nordsjaelland
| 26 Jul | A | vs Horsens | 1–1 | D |
| 2 Aug | H | vs Randers | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | H | vs Silkeborg | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Aug | A | vs Sonderjyske | 3–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Brondby | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
| 2 Aug 26 | NordsjaellandvsRanders FC | 1 – 0 |
Randers: 0W 0D 1L in last 1
Model context
| Stat | Randers (Home · 7 matches) | FC Nordsjaelland (Away · 7 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 57.1% | 71.4% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 57.1% | 57.1% |
| Clean sheet | 14.3% | 14.3% |
| Avg goals | 2.86 | 3.43 |
Home stats use Randers's home record; away stats use FC Nordsjaelland's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.