Randers FC vs Nordsjaelland — Danish Superliga forecast, Sunday, 8 November 2026
Danish Superliga·Sunday, 8 November 2026·15:00
Randers FCExpected goalsNordsjaelland
1.10 xG1.81 xG
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Randers FC
21%
Draw
22%
Nordsjaelland
56%
Expected goals
1.10–1.81
Randers FC · Nordsjaelland
Nordsjaelland win 56% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–2 (11.3%), 1–1 (10.5%), 0–1 (10.3%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 56% of simulations.
Those three cover 32% of outcomes; the other 68% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Randers FC score at least twice in 30%; Nordsjaelland in 55%.
Scoreline distribution
Nordsjaelland goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.7 | 10.3 | 9.4 | 5.2 | 2.1 | 1.0 |
| 1 | 4.8 | 10.5 | 11.3 | 6.2 | 2.6 | 1.2 |
| 2 | 3.3 | 5.5 | 4.8 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 0.7 |
| 3 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Randers FC goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Both teams score56%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Over 3.5 goals33%
Over 4.5 goals17%
Team scoring & clean sheets
Randers FC clean sheet16%
Nordsjaelland clean sheet34%
Randers FC score 2+30%
Nordsjaelland score 2+55%
Randers FC score 3+10%
Nordsjaelland score 3+27%
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 27% | 26% | 47% |
| Market reference | 21% | 22% | 56% |
| Metis Forecast | 21% | 22% | 56% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
1–211.3%
1–110.5%
0–110.3%
0–29.4%
1–36.2%
0–05.7%
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Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.