Odense vs Viborg — Danish Superliga forecast, Saturday, 7 November 2026
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Odense
36%
Draw
25%
Viborg
39%
Expected goals
1.45–1.53
Odense · Viborg
Viborg win 39% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11.6%), 1–2 (8.6%), 2–1 (8.5%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 60% of simulations.
Those three cover 29% of outcomes; the other 71% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Odense score at least twice in 43%; Viborg in 45%.
Scoreline distribution
Viborg goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.8 | 7.0 | 6.1 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| 1 | 6.8 | 11.6 | 8.6 | 4.4 | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| 2 | 5.5 | 8.5 | 5.9 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| 3 | 2.6 | 4.0 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: Odense goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 34% | 26% | 40% |
| Market reference | 36% | 25% | 39% |
| Metis Forecast | 36% | 25% | 39% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Odense | 2.66 |
| Draw | 3.78 |
| Viborg | 2.46 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 02 Nov · 05:06 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Odense
| 24 Jul | A | vs Viborg | 0–1 | L |
| 3 Aug | H | vs Sonderjyske | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Aug | A | vs Silkeborg | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Aug | H | vs Horsens | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Aug | A | vs AGF | 2–2 | D |
Viborg
| 24 Jul | H | vs Odense | 1–0 | W |
| 2 Aug | A | vs Brondby | 0–1 | L |
| 7 Aug | A | vs Sonderjyske | 0–0 | D |
| 14 Aug | H | vs AGF | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Aug | H | vs FC Copenhagen | 4–0 | W |
Head to head
| 24 Jul 26 | ViborgvsOdense | 1 – 0 |
Odense: 0W 0D 1L in last 1
Model context
| Stat | Odense (Home · 5 matches) | Viborg (Away · 6 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 60.0% | 50.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 60.0% | 33.3% |
| Clean sheet | 20.0% | 33.3% |
| Avg goals | 2.80 | 2.17 |
Home stats use Odense's home record; away stats use Viborg's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.