Odense vs Midtjylland — Danish Superliga result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 19 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 12.4 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Odense
23%
Draw
22%
result
Midtjylland
54%
top pick
Final score
1–1
Top pick missed
Metis gave the draw 22.2% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Midtjylland win. Expected goals 1.16–1.88 against 1–1 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (10.3%), 1–2 (10.0%), 0–2 (8.7%). It finished 1–1 — one of them.
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Odense
| 24 Jul | A | vs Viborg | 0–1 | L |
| 3 Aug | H | vs Sonderjyske | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Aug | A | vs Silkeborg | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Aug | H | vs Horsens | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Aug | A | vs AGF | 2–2 | D |
Midtjylland
| 26 Jul | A | vs Sonderjyske | 3–2 | W |
| 2 Aug | H | vs Horsens | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Aug | A | vs Lyngby | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Aug | H | vs Randers | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Silkeborg | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Odense (Home · 6 matches) | Midtjylland (Away · 7 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 66.7% | 85.7% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 66.7% | 42.9% |
| Clean sheet | 16.7% | 14.3% |
| Avg goals | 3.17 | 3.00 |
Home stats use Odense's home record; away stats use Midtjylland's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.