Midtjylland vs FC Nordsjaelland — Danish Superliga result and pre-match forecast, Monday, 7 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Independent model — no market priceFrozen as published · 5.8 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Midtjylland
48%
top pick
Draw
25%
result
FC Nordsjaelland
27%
Final score
2–2
Top pick missed
Metis gave the draw 25.3% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Midtjylland win. Expected goals 1.74–1.27 against 2–2 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (11.8%), 2–1 (9.5%), 1–0 (7.7%). It finished 2–2.
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Midtjylland
| 26 Jul | A | vs Sonderjyske | 3–2 | W |
| 2 Aug | H | vs Horsens | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Aug | A | vs Lyngby | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Aug | H | vs Randers | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Silkeborg | 1–1 | D |
FC Nordsjaelland
| 26 Jul | A | vs Horsens | 1–1 | D |
| 2 Aug | H | vs Randers | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | H | vs Silkeborg | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Aug | A | vs Sonderjyske | 3–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Brondby | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Midtjylland (Home · 6 matches) | FC Nordsjaelland (Away · 7 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 83.3% | 71.4% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 83.3% | 57.1% |
| Clean sheet | 16.7% | 14.3% |
| Avg goals | 3.50 | 3.43 |
Home stats use Midtjylland's home record; away stats use FC Nordsjaelland's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.