Midtjylland vs Brondby — Danish Superliga result and pre-match forecast, Monday, 14 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 8.9 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Midtjylland
54%
pick · result
Draw
25%
Brondby
21%
Final score
4–2
Top pick landed
Metis gave a Midtjylland win 54.0% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Midtjylland win. Expected goals 1.87–1.14 against 4–2 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (11.6%), 2–1 (10.1%), 2–0 (8.6%). It finished 4–2.
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Midtjylland
| 26 Jul | A | vs Sonderjyske | 3–2 | W |
| 2 Aug | H | vs Horsens | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Aug | A | vs Lyngby | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Aug | H | vs Randers | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Silkeborg | 1–1 | D |
Brondby
| 25 Jul | A | vs AGF | 1–1 | D |
| 2 Aug | H | vs Viborg | 1–0 | W |
| 9 Aug | A | vs Horsens | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | H | vs Sonderjyske | 3–2 | W |
| 24 Aug | H | vs Silkeborg | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Midtjylland (Home · 6 matches) | Brondby (Away · 6 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 83.3% | 83.3% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 83.3% | 66.7% |
| Clean sheet | 16.7% | 16.7% |
| Avg goals | 3.50 | 3.33 |
Home stats use Midtjylland's home record; away stats use Brondby's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.