🇩🇰 Danish Superliga·Sunday, 30 August 2026·16:00
Odds comparison
| Market | Pinnacle | Best |
|---|---|---|
| FC Nordsjaelland | 2.08 | 2.08 |
| Draw | 3.86 | 3.86 |
| Brondby | 3.21 | 3.21 |
Metis Forecast
model + marketFC Nordsjaelland
46%
Draw
24%
Brondby
29%
FC Nordsjaelland 1.53 xGexpected goals1.26 xG Brondby
FC Nordsjaelland win 46% of the current Metis Forecast.
Both teams score in 56% of simulations.
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11.5%).
FC Nordsjaelland score at least twice in 46%; Brondby in 35%.
1–1 11.5%2–1 10.8%1–0 10.0%2–0 7.6%1–2 6.6%0–0 6.5%
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.5 | 6.2 | 4.9 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 10.0 | 11.5 | 6.6 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 7.6 | 10.8 | 5.1 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 3.4 | 4.8 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
rows = FC Nordsjaelland goals · columns = Brondby goals · % of simulations
Match outcomes
Both teams score56%
Over 1.5 goals77%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Over 4.5 goals15%
FC Nordsjaelland clean sheet29%
Brondby clean sheet21%
FC Nordsjaelland score 2+46%
Brondby score 2+35%
FC Nordsjaelland score 3+19%
Model vs market
| Source | FC Nordsjaelland | Draw | Brondby |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 35% | 27% | 38% |
| Market (de-vigged) | 46% | 24% | 29% |
| Metis Forecast | 46% | 24% | 29% |
The Metis Forecast combines the model's scoreline structure with de-vigged market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model output is kept separate and benchmarked independently.
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FC Nordsjaelland
| 26 Jul | A | vs Horsens | 1–1 | D |
| 2 Aug | H | vs Randers | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | H | vs Silkeborg | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Aug | A | vs Sonderjyske | 3–0 | W |
Brondby
| 25 Jul | A | vs AGF | 1–1 | D |
| 2 Aug | H | vs Viborg | 1–0 | W |
| 9 Aug | A | vs Horsens | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | H | vs Sonderjyske | 3–2 | W |
| 24 Aug | H | vs Silkeborg | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings found.
Model context
| Stat | FC Nordsjaelland (Home) | Brondby (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 0.0% | 50.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clean sheet | 100.0% | 50.0% |
| Avg goals | 1.00 | 2.00 |
Home stats use FC Nordsjaelland's home record; away stats use Brondby's away record this season.