FC Nordsjaelland vs Brondby — Danish Superliga result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 30 August 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 8.1 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
FC Nordsjaelland
45%
pick · result
Draw
24%
Brondby
31%
Final score
3–1
Top pick landed
Metis gave a FC Nordsjaelland win 45.3% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a FC Nordsjaelland win. Expected goals 1.45–1.22 against 3–1 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (11.4%), 1–0 (10.8%), 2–1 (10.5%). It finished 3–1.
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FC Nordsjaelland
| 26 Jul | A | vs Horsens | 1–1 | D |
| 2 Aug | H | vs Randers | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | H | vs Silkeborg | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Aug | A | vs Sonderjyske | 3–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Brondby | 3–1 | W |
Brondby
| 25 Jul | A | vs AGF | 1–1 | D |
| 2 Aug | H | vs Viborg | 1–0 | W |
| 9 Aug | A | vs Horsens | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | H | vs Sonderjyske | 3–2 | W |
| 24 Aug | H | vs Silkeborg | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | FC Nordsjaelland (Home · 4 matches) | Brondby (Away · 4 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 25.0% | 75.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 25.0% | 50.0% |
| Clean sheet | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| Avg goals | 2.00 | 3.25 |
Home stats use FC Nordsjaelland's home record; away stats use Brondby's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.