🇩🇰 Danish Superliga·Monday, 31 August 2026·17:00
Odds comparison
| Market | Pinnacle | Best |
|---|---|---|
| FC Copenhagen | 1.39 | 1.39 |
| Draw | 4.84 | 4.84 |
| Sonderjyske | 7.52 | 7.52 |
Metis Forecast
model + marketFC Copenhagen
69%
Draw
19%
Sonderjyske
12%
FC Copenhagen 2.18 xGexpected goals0.95 xG Sonderjyske
FC Copenhagen win 69% of the current Metis Forecast.
Both teams score in 57% of simulations.
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (12.5%).
FC Copenhagen score at least twice in 66%; Sonderjyske in 24%.
2–1 12.5%2–0 11.0%1–0 10.4%1–1 8.8%3–1 8.0%3–0 7.0%
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.4 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 10.4 | 8.8 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 11.0 | 12.5 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 7.0 | 8.0 | 4.5 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 3.4 | 3.8 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 1.9 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
rows = FC Copenhagen goals · columns = Sonderjyske goals · % of simulations
Match outcomes
Both teams score57%
Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Over 3.5 goals38%
Over 4.5 goals21%
FC Copenhagen clean sheet38%
Sonderjyske clean sheet9%
FC Copenhagen score 2+66%
Sonderjyske score 2+24%
FC Copenhagen score 3+37%
Model vs market
| Source | FC Copenhagen | Draw | Sonderjyske |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 56% | 24% | 20% |
| Market (de-vigged) | 69% | 19% | 12% |
| Metis Forecast | 69% | 19% | 12% |
The Metis Forecast combines the model's scoreline structure with de-vigged market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model output is kept separate and benchmarked independently.
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FC Copenhagen
| 26 Jul | H | vs Lyngby | 3–2 | W |
| 2 Aug | A | vs Silkeborg | 3–1 | W |
| 16 Aug | A | vs Randers | 4–0 | W |
| 23 Aug | A | vs Viborg | 0–4 | L |
Sonderjyske
| 26 Jul | H | vs Midtjylland | 2–3 | L |
| 3 Aug | A | vs Odense | 0–1 | L |
| 7 Aug | H | vs Viborg | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Aug | A | vs Brondby | 2–3 | L |
| 23 Aug | H | vs FC Nordsjaelland | 0–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings found.
Model context
| Stat | FC Copenhagen (Home) | Sonderjyske (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 100.0% | 50.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 100.0% | 50.0% |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 5.00 | 3.00 |
Home stats use FC Copenhagen's home record; away stats use Sonderjyske's away record this season.