FC Copenhagen vs Sonderjyske — Danish Superliga result and pre-match forecast, Monday, 31 August 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 13.9 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
FC Copenhagen
71%
pick · result
Draw
18%
Sonderjyske
11%
Final score
3–1
Top pick landed
Metis gave a FC Copenhagen win 71.1% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a FC Copenhagen win. Expected goals 2.23–0.92 against 3–1 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 2–1 (12.3%), 2–0 (11.4%), 1–0 (10.5%). It finished 3–1.
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FC Copenhagen
| 26 Jul | H | vs Lyngby | 3–2 | W |
| 2 Aug | A | vs Silkeborg | 3–1 | W |
| 16 Aug | A | vs Randers | 4–0 | W |
| 23 Aug | A | vs Viborg | 0–4 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | vs Sonderjyske | 3–1 | W |
Sonderjyske
| 26 Jul | H | vs Midtjylland | 2–3 | L |
| 3 Aug | A | vs Odense | 0–1 | L |
| 7 Aug | H | vs Viborg | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Aug | A | vs Brondby | 2–3 | L |
| 23 Aug | H | vs FC Nordsjaelland | 0–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | FC Copenhagen (Home · 4 matches) | Sonderjyske (Away · 4 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 50.0% | 75.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Clean sheet | 50.0% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.25 | 3.00 |
Home stats use FC Copenhagen's home record; away stats use Sonderjyske's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.