FC Copenhagen vs Odense — Danish Superliga forecast, Monday, 26 October 2026
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
FC Copenhagen
69%
Draw
17%
Odense
14%
Expected goals
2.36–0.94
FC Copenhagen · Odense
FC Copenhagen win 69% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 2–0 (10.4%), 2–1 (9.7%), 3–0 (8.2%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 55% of simulations.
Those three cover 28% of outcomes; the other 72% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
FC Copenhagen score at least twice in 68%; Odense in 24%.
Scoreline distribution
Odense goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.0 | 3.1 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 8.2 | 8.1 | 4.2 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 10.4 | 9.7 | 4.1 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 8.2 | 7.6 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 4.9 | 4.5 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 3.6 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: FC Copenhagen goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 69% | 19% | 12% |
| Market reference | 69% | 17% | 14% |
| Metis Forecast | 69% | 17% | 14% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| FC Copenhagen | 1.40 |
| Draw | 5.26 |
| Odense | 6.47 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 23 Oct · 04:31 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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FC Copenhagen
| 26 Jul | H | vs Lyngby | 3–2 | W |
| 2 Aug | A | vs Silkeborg | 3–1 | W |
| 16 Aug | A | vs Randers | 4–0 | W |
| 23 Aug | A | vs Viborg | 0–4 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | vs Sonderjyske | 3–1 | W |
Odense
| 24 Jul | A | vs Viborg | 0–1 | L |
| 3 Aug | H | vs Sonderjyske | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Aug | A | vs Silkeborg | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Aug | H | vs Horsens | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Aug | A | vs AGF | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
| 6 Sept 26 | OdensevsFC Copenhagen | 0 – 5 |
FC Copenhagen: 1W 0D 0L in last 1
Model context
| Stat | FC Copenhagen (Home · 5 matches) | Odense (Away · 6 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 60.0% | 50.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 40.0% | 33.3% |
| Clean sheet | 40.0% | 16.7% |
| Avg goals | 3.00 | 1.83 |
Home stats use FC Copenhagen's home record; away stats use Odense's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.