Brondby vs Randers — Danish Superliga result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 6 September 2026

Danish Superliga·Sunday, 6 September 2026

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Metis pre-match forecast

Market-anchored distribution

Frozen as published · under an hour before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.

Brondby

59%

top pick

Draw

21%

Randers

20%

result

Final score

0–3

Top pick missed

Metis gave a Randers win 19.7% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Brondby win. Expected goals 1.99–1.05 against 0–3 actual.

Forecast against the result

Over 2.5 goals59%3 scored
Both teams score56%no
Brondby clean sheet35%no
Randers clean sheet14%yes
Brondby score 2+59%no
Randers score 2+28%yes

How this forecast scored

Ranked probability score0.4963
1X2 Brier score1.0380
Probability on the result19.7%

Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.

Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (10.0%), 2–1 (10.0%), 2–0 (9.7%). It finished 0–3.

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Brondby

25 JulAvs AGF1–1D
2 AugHvs Viborg1–0W
9 AugAvs Horsens2–0W
17 AugHvs Sonderjyske3–2W
24 AugHvs Silkeborg3–1W

Randers

27 JulHvs Silkeborg1–1D
2 AugAvs FC Nordsjaelland0–1L
9 AugHvs Lyngby2–0W
16 AugHvs FC Copenhagen0–4L
23 AugAvs Midtjylland0–1L

Head to head

No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.

Model context

StatBrondby
(Home · 7 matches)
Randers
(Away · 6 matches)
BTTS rate42.9%33.3%
Over 2.5 rate57.1%50.0%
Clean sheet28.6%33.3%
Avg goals3.292.33

Home stats use Brondby's home record; away stats use Randers's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.