Brondby vs FC Copenhagen — Danish Superliga result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 20 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 3.6 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Brondby
31%
Draw
26%
FC Copenhagen
43%
pick · result
Final score
0–1
Top pick landed
Metis gave a FC Copenhagen win 43.0% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a FC Copenhagen win. Expected goals 1.31–1.57 against 0–1 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (12.4%), 1–2 (9.3%), 0–1 (8.1%). It finished 0–1 — one of them.
Want the model's read each week? Subscribe for free.
Recent form
Brondby
| 25 Jul | A | vs AGF | 1–1 | D |
| 2 Aug | H | vs Viborg | 1–0 | W |
| 9 Aug | A | vs Horsens | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | H | vs Sonderjyske | 3–2 | W |
| 24 Aug | H | vs Silkeborg | 3–1 | W |
FC Copenhagen
| 26 Jul | H | vs Lyngby | 3–2 | W |
| 2 Aug | A | vs Silkeborg | 3–1 | W |
| 16 Aug | A | vs Randers | 4–0 | W |
| 23 Aug | A | vs Viborg | 0–4 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | vs Sonderjyske | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Brondby (Home · 7 matches) | FC Copenhagen (Away · 7 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 42.9% | 28.6% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 57.1% | 71.4% |
| Clean sheet | 28.6% | 57.1% |
| Avg goals | 3.29 | 3.29 |
Home stats use Brondby's home record; away stats use FC Copenhagen's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.