Zlin vs Slavia Prague — Czech First League forecast, Friday, 9 October 2026
Zlin
vs
16:00
Slavia Prague
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Zlin
9%
Draw
15%
Slavia Prague
76%
Expected goals
0.81–1.99
Zlin · Slavia Prague
Slavia Prague win 76% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 0–1 (16.8%), 1–2 (16.6%), 0–2 (13.2%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 52% of simulations.
Those three cover 47% of outcomes; the other 53% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Zlin score at least twice in 19%; Slavia Prague in 64%.
Scoreline distribution
Slavia Prague goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.4 | 16.8 | 13.2 | 6.2 | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 | 2.1 | 7.3 | 16.6 | 7.8 | 2.8 | 1.0 |
| 2 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 3.0 | 4.9 | 1.7 | 0.6 |
| 3 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Zlin goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 32% | 28% | 40% |
| Market reference | 9% | 15% | 76% |
| Metis Forecast | 9% | 15% | 76% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Zlin
| 20 Sept | A | vs FK Jablonec | 1–1 | D |
No recent results.
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.