Zlin vs Sigma Olomouc — Czech First League forecast, Saturday, 24 October 2026
Zlin
vs
13:00
Sigma Olomouc
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Zlin
22%
Draw
26%
Sigma Olomouc
52%
Expected goals
0.97–1.62
Zlin · Sigma Olomouc
Sigma Olomouc win 52% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12.2%), 0–1 (11.2%), 0–2 (10.0%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 50% of simulations.
Those three cover 33% of outcomes; the other 67% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
The most likely Sigma Olomouc win is 0–1 (11.2%).
Zlin score at least twice in 26%; Sigma Olomouc in 48%.
Scoreline distribution
Sigma Olomouc goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.1 | 11.2 | 10.0 | 5.4 | 2.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 | 6.6 | 12.2 | 9.5 | 5.2 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| 2 | 3.6 | 6.0 | 4.4 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Zlin goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 21% | 27% | 52% |
| Market reference | 22% | 26% | 52% |
| Metis Forecast | 22% | 26% | 52% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Zlin
| 20 Sept | A | vs FK Jablonec | 1–1 | D |
Sigma Olomouc
| 20 Sept | H | vs Sparta Praha | 0–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.