Zbrojovka Brno vs Bohemians 1905 — Czech First League forecast, Saturday, 24 October 2026
Zbrojovka Brno
vs
13:00
Bohemians 1905
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Zbrojovka Brno
42%
Draw
32%
Bohemians 1905
27%
Expected goals
1.34–1.03
Zbrojovka Brno · Bohemians 1905
Zbrojovka Brno win 42% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (15.0%), 1–0 (11.0%), 0–0 (10.9%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 50% of simulations.
Those three cover 37% of outcomes; the other 63% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Zbrojovka Brno score at least twice in 39%; Bohemians 1905 in 28%.
Scoreline distribution
Bohemians 1905 goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.0 | 8.1 | 4.7 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 11.0 | 15.0 | 6.4 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.1 | 8.5 | 4.9 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 3.7 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Zbrojovka Brno goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 43% | 29% | 28% |
| Market reference | 42% | 32% | 27% |
| Metis Forecast | 42% | 32% | 27% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Zbrojovka Brno
| 19 Sept | A | vs Mlada Boleslav | 0–2 | L |
Bohemians 1905
| 19 Sept | A | vs Pardubice | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.