Zbrojovka Brno vs Banik Ostrava — Czech First League forecast, Saturday, 7 November 2026
Zbrojovka Brno
vs
17:00
Banik Ostrava
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Zbrojovka Brno
48%
Draw
27%
Banik Ostrava
25%
Expected goals
1.57–1.10
Zbrojovka Brno · Banik Ostrava
Zbrojovka Brno win 48% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12.8%), 1–0 (10.3%), 2–1 (9.9%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 54% of simulations.
Those three cover 33% of outcomes; the other 67% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
The most likely Zbrojovka Brno win is 1–0 (10.3%).
Zbrojovka Brno score at least twice in 47%; Banik Ostrava in 30%.
Scoreline distribution
Banik Ostrava goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.8 | 6.3 | 4.1 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 10.3 | 12.9 | 6.2 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 8.6 | 9.9 | 5.2 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 4.3 | 5.0 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Zbrojovka Brno goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 45% | 27% | 28% |
| Market reference | 48% | 27% | 25% |
| Metis Forecast | 48% | 27% | 25% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Zbrojovka Brno
| 19 Sept | A | vs Mlada Boleslav | 0–2 | L |
No recent results.
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.