Teplice vs Pardubice — Czech First League forecast, Sunday, 8 November 2026
Teplice
vs
12:00
Pardubice
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Teplice
38%
Draw
28%
Pardubice
35%
Expected goals
1.39–1.25
Teplice · Pardubice
Teplice win 38% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13.1%), 0–1 (9.0%), 1–2 (8.9%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 54% of simulations.
Those three cover 31% of outcomes; the other 69% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Teplice score at least twice in 40%; Pardubice in 36%.
Scoreline distribution
Pardubice goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.0 | 9.0 | 5.7 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 8.0 | 13.1 | 8.9 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 6.8 | 7.5 | 5.2 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 3.5 | 3.9 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Teplice goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 46% | 27% | 26% |
| Market reference | 38% | 28% | 35% |
| Metis Forecast | 38% | 28% | 35% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Teplice
| 20 Sept | A | vs Hradec Králové | 2–0 | W |
Pardubice
| 19 Sept | H | vs Bohemians 1905 | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.