Sparta Prague vs Slovacko — Czech First League forecast, Sunday, 25 October 2026
Sparta Prague
vs
14:00
Slovacko
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Sparta Prague
75%
Draw
16%
Slovacko
10%
Expected goals
1.99–0.82
Sparta Prague · Slovacko
Sparta Prague win 75% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–0 (16.1%), 2–1 (15.8%), 2–0 (13.1%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 52% of simulations.
Those three cover 45% of outcomes; the other 55% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Sparta Prague score at least twice in 63%; Slovacko in 19%.
Scoreline distribution
Slovacko goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.5 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 16.1 | 7.5 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 13.1 | 15.8 | 3.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 6.5 | 7.7 | 4.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 2.4 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: Sparta Prague goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 43% | 28% | 30% |
| Market reference | 75% | 16% | 10% |
| Metis Forecast | 75% | 16% | 10% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.