Slovan Liberec vs Slovacko — Czech First League forecast, Sunday, 11 October 2026
Slovan Liberec
vs
11:00
Slovacko
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Slovan Liberec
66%
Draw
21%
Slovacko
13%
Expected goals
1.90–0.84
Slovan Liberec · Slovacko
Slovan Liberec win 66% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–0 (13.8%), 2–1 (12.4%), 2–0 (12.3%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 50% of simulations.
Those three cover 39% of outcomes; the other 61% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Slovan Liberec score at least twice in 59%; Slovacko in 20%.
Scoreline distribution
Slovacko goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.2 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 13.8 | 9.9 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 12.3 | 12.5 | 3.8 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 6.7 | 6.8 | 3.4 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: Slovan Liberec goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 52% | 26% | 22% |
| Market reference | 66% | 21% | 13% |
| Metis Forecast | 66% | 21% | 13% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Slovan Liberec
| 19 Sept | A | vs Artis | 0–0 | D |
No recent results.
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.