Slovan Liberec vs Banik Ostrava — Czech First League forecast, Saturday, 24 October 2026
Slovan Liberec
vs
13:00
Banik Ostrava
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Slovan Liberec
61%
Draw
22%
Banik Ostrava
17%
Expected goals
1.80–0.88
Slovan Liberec · Banik Ostrava
Slovan Liberec win 61% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–0 (12.5%), 2–0 (11.6%), 1–1 (10.6%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 49% of simulations.
Those three cover 35% of outcomes; the other 65% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Slovan Liberec score at least twice in 54%; Banik Ostrava in 22%.
Scoreline distribution
Banik Ostrava goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.0 | 5.1 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 12.5 | 10.6 | 4.7 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 11.6 | 10.6 | 3.9 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 6.6 | 6.1 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 2.9 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Slovan Liberec goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 57% | 26% | 17% |
| Market reference | 61% | 22% | 17% |
| Metis Forecast | 61% | 22% | 17% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Slovan Liberec
| 19 Sept | A | vs Artis | 0–0 | D |
No recent results.
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.