Slovácko vs Baník Ostrava — Czech First League result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 19 September 2026

Czech First League·Saturday, 19 September 2026·16:00

Slovácko

2 – 2

Baník Ostrava

SlováckoExpected goalsBaník Ostrava
1.41 xG1.26 xG

Metis pre-match forecast

Independent model — no market price

Frozen as published · 36.5 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.

Slovácko

39%

top pick

Draw

28%

result

Baník Ostrava

33%

Final score

2–2

Top pick missed

Metis gave the draw 27.9% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Slovácko win. Expected goals 1.41–1.26 against 2–2 actual.

Forecast against the result

Over 2.5 goals50%4 scored
Both teams score55%yes
Slovácko clean sheet28%no
Baník Ostrava clean sheet25%no
Slovácko score 2+41%yes
Baník Ostrava score 2+36%yes

How this forecast scored

Ranked probability score0.1311
1X2 Brier score0.7820
Probability on the result27.9%

Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.

Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (13.3%), 1–0 (8.8%), 2–1 (8.6%). It finished 2–2.

Want the model's read each week? Subscribe for free.

Recent form

Slovácko

19 SeptHvs Baník Ostrava2–2D

Baník Ostrava

19 SeptAvs Slovácko2–2D

Head to head

No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.