Slavia Praha vs Plzen — Czech First League result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 20 September 2026

Czech First League·Sunday, 20 September 2026·16:00

Slavia Praha

2 – 1

Plzen

Slavia PrahaExpected goalsPlzen
2.14 xG0.98 xG

Metis pre-match forecast

Market-anchored distribution

Frozen as published · 7.6 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.

Slavia Praha

64%

pick · result

Draw

21%

Plzen

15%

Final score

2–1

Top pick landed

Metis gave a Slavia Praha win 63.9% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Slavia Praha win. Expected goals 2.14–0.98 against 2–1 actual.

Forecast against the result

Over 2.5 goals60%3 scored
Both teams score56%yes
Slavia Praha clean sheet37%no
Plzen clean sheet11%no
Slavia Praha score 2+64%yes
Plzen score 2+26%no

How this forecast scored

Ranked probability score0.0763
1X2 Brier score0.1981
Probability on the result63.9%

Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.

Most likely scores before kick-off: 2–1 (10.3%), 2–0 (10.2%), 1–1 (10.0%). It finished 2–1 — one of them.

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Recent form

Slavia Praha

20 SeptHvs Plzen2–1W

Plzen

20 SeptAvs Slavia Praha1–2L

Head to head

No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.