Slavia Prague vs Mlada Boleslav — Czech First League forecast, Saturday, 24 October 2026
Slavia Prague
vs
16:00
Mlada Boleslav
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Slavia Prague
77%
Draw
14%
Mlada Boleslav
9%
Expected goals
2.03–0.78
Slavia Prague · Mlada Boleslav
Slavia Prague win 77% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–0 (16.7%), 2–1 (15.7%), 2–0 (13.9%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 50% of simulations.
Those three cover 46% of outcomes; the other 54% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Slavia Prague score at least twice in 64%; Mlada Boleslav in 18%.
Scoreline distribution
Mlada Boleslav goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.1 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 16.7 | 6.6 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 13.9 | 15.7 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 7.0 | 7.9 | 4.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 2.7 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: Slavia Prague goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 45% | 28% | 27% |
| Market reference | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| Metis Forecast | 77% | 14% | 9% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Mlada Boleslav
| 19 Sept | H | vs Zbrojovka Brno | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.