Sigma Olomouc vs Zbrojovka Brno — Czech First League forecast, Saturday, 31 October 2026
Sigma Olomouc
vs
17:00
Zbrojovka Brno
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Sigma Olomouc
52%
Draw
25%
Zbrojovka Brno
23%
Expected goals
1.56–0.99
Sigma Olomouc · Zbrojovka Brno
Sigma Olomouc win 52% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–0 (12.5%), 1–1 (11.8%), 2–1 (10.5%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 50% of simulations.
Those three cover 35% of outcomes; the other 65% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Sigma Olomouc score at least twice in 47%; Zbrojovka Brno in 26%.
Scoreline distribution
Zbrojovka Brno goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.0 | 6.6 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 12.5 | 11.8 | 5.8 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.9 | 10.5 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 4.7 | 5.1 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Sigma Olomouc goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 45% | 28% | 27% |
| Market reference | 52% | 25% | 23% |
| Metis Forecast | 52% | 25% | 23% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Sigma Olomouc
| 20 Sept | H | vs Sparta Praha | 0–3 | L |
Zbrojovka Brno
| 19 Sept | A | vs Mlada Boleslav | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.