Sigma Olomouc vs Sparta Praha — Czech First League result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 20 September 2026

Czech First League·Sunday, 20 September 2026·13:00

Sigma Olomouc

0 – 3

Sparta Praha

Sigma OlomoucExpected goalsSparta Praha
1.25 xG1.44 xG

Metis pre-match forecast

Independent model — no market price

Frozen as published · 4.6 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.

Sigma Olomouc

32%

Draw

28%

Sparta Praha

41%

pick · result

Final score

0–3

Top pick landed

Metis gave a Sparta Praha win 40.6% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Sparta Praha win. Expected goals 1.25–1.44 against 0–3 actual.

Forecast against the result

Over 2.5 goals50%3 scored
Both teams score55%no
Sigma Olomouc clean sheet24%no
Sparta Praha clean sheet29%yes
Sigma Olomouc score 2+35%no
Sparta Praha score 2+42%yes

How this forecast scored

Ranked probability score0.2262
1X2 Brier score0.5292
Probability on the result40.6%

Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.

Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (13.2%), 0–1 (8.8%), 1–2 (8.8%). It finished 0–3.

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Sigma Olomouc

20 SeptHvs Sparta Praha0–3L

Sparta Praha

20 SeptAvs Sigma Olomouc3–0W

Head to head

No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.