Sigma Olomouc vs Slavia Praha — Czech First League forecast, Saturday, 21 November 2026
Sigma Olomouc
vs
14:00
Slavia Praha
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Sigma Olomouc
22%
Draw
25%
Slavia Praha
53%
Expected goals
1.11–1.83
Sigma Olomouc · Slavia Praha
Slavia Praha win 53% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11.8%), 1–2 (9.9%), 0–2 (8.8%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 57% of simulations.
Those three cover 30% of outcomes; the other 70% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
The most likely Slavia Praha win is 1–2 (9.9%).
Sigma Olomouc score at least twice in 30%; Slavia Praha in 55%.
Scoreline distribution
Slavia Praha goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.2 | 8.8 | 8.8 | 5.4 | 2.5 | 1.3 |
| 1 | 4.9 | 11.7 | 9.9 | 6.0 | 2.7 | 1.4 |
| 2 | 3.2 | 5.9 | 5.5 | 3.3 | 1.5 | 0.8 |
| 3 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Sigma Olomouc goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 21% | 25% | 55% |
| Market reference | 22% | 25% | 53% |
| Metis Forecast | 22% | 25% | 53% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Sigma Olomouc
| 20 Sept | H | vs Sparta Praha | 0–3 | L |
Slavia Praha
| 20 Sept | H | vs Plzen | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.