Pardubice vs Slovan Liberec — Czech First League forecast, Saturday, 31 October 2026
Pardubice
vs
14:00
Slovan Liberec
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Pardubice
33%
Draw
26%
Slovan Liberec
41%
Expected goals
1.20–1.38
Pardubice · Slovan Liberec
Slovan Liberec win 41% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12.6%), 0–1 (9.8%), 1–2 (8.8%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 52% of simulations.
Those three cover 31% of outcomes; the other 69% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Pardubice score at least twice in 34%; Slovan Liberec in 40%.
Scoreline distribution
Slovan Liberec goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.1 | 9.8 | 7.4 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 8.5 | 12.6 | 8.8 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 5.7 | 7.8 | 4.8 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 2.2 | 3.1 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Pardubice goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 31% | 29% | 40% |
| Market reference | 33% | 26% | 41% |
| Metis Forecast | 33% | 26% | 41% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Pardubice
| 19 Sept | H | vs Bohemians 1905 | 2–1 | W |
Slovan Liberec
| 19 Sept | A | vs Artis | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.