Pardubice vs Bohemians 1905 — Czech First League result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 19 September 2026

Czech First League·Saturday, 19 September 2026·13:00

Pardubice

2 – 1

Bohemians 1905

PardubiceExpected goalsBohemians 1905
1.47 xG1.05 xG

Metis pre-match forecast

Market-anchored distribution

Frozen as published · 9.4 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.

Pardubice

49%

pick · result

Draw

25%

Bohemians 1905

26%

Final score

2–1

Top pick landed

Metis gave a Pardubice win 48.7% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Pardubice win. Expected goals 1.47–1.05 against 2–1 actual.

Forecast against the result

Over 2.5 goals47%3 scored
Both teams score50%yes
Pardubice clean sheet36%no
Bohemians 1905 clean sheet23%no
Pardubice score 2+44%yes
Bohemians 1905 score 2+28%no

How this forecast scored

Ranked probability score0.1664
1X2 Brier score0.3955
Probability on the result48.7%

Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.

Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–0 (12.3%), 1–1 (11.9%), 2–1 (10.3%). It finished 2–1 — one of them.

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Pardubice

19 SeptHvs Bohemians 19052–1W

Bohemians 1905

19 SeptAvs Pardubice1–2L

Head to head

No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.