Mlada Boleslav vs Zlin — Czech First League forecast, Saturday, 21 November 2026
Mlada Boleslav
vs
14:00
Zlin
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Mlada Boleslav
65%
Draw
20%
Zlin
15%
Expected goals
2.06–0.95
Mlada Boleslav · Zlin
Mlada Boleslav win 65% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 2–1 (11.1%), 2–0 (10.9%), 1–0 (10.3%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 55% of simulations.
Those three cover 32% of outcomes; the other 68% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Mlada Boleslav score at least twice in 62%; Zlin in 24%.
Scoreline distribution
Zlin goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.2 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 10.3 | 9.7 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 10.9 | 11.1 | 4.4 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 7.0 | 7.2 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 3.4 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 1.9 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: Mlada Boleslav goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 60% | 23% | 17% |
| Market reference | 65% | 20% | 15% |
| Metis Forecast | 65% | 20% | 15% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Mlada Boleslav
| 19 Sept | H | vs Zbrojovka Brno | 2–0 | W |
Zlin
| 20 Sept | A | vs FK Jablonec | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.