Mlada Boleslav vs Zbrojovka Brno — Czech First League result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 19 September 2026

Czech First League·Saturday, 19 September 2026·13:00

Mlada Boleslav

2 – 0

Zbrojovka Brno

Mlada BoleslavExpected goalsZbrojovka Brno
1.51 xG1.32 xG

Metis pre-match forecast

Market-anchored distribution

Frozen as published · 9.4 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.

Mlada Boleslav

42%

pick · result

Draw

26%

Zbrojovka Brno

32%

Final score

2–0

Top pick landed

Metis gave a Mlada Boleslav win 42.1% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Mlada Boleslav win. Expected goals 1.51–1.32 against 2–0 actual.

Forecast against the result

Over 2.5 goals54%2 scored
Both teams score58%no
Mlada Boleslav clean sheet27%yes
Zbrojovka Brno clean sheet22%no
Mlada Boleslav score 2+45%yes
Zbrojovka Brno score 2+38%no

How this forecast scored

Ranked probability score0.2181
1X2 Brier score0.5039
Probability on the result42.1%

Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.

Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (12.3%), 2–1 (9.4%), 1–0 (8.4%). It finished 2–0.

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Mlada Boleslav

19 SeptHvs Zbrojovka Brno2–0W

Zbrojovka Brno

19 SeptAvs Mlada Boleslav0–2L

Head to head

No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.