Mlada Boleslav vs Hradec Kralove — Czech First League forecast, Sunday, 1 November 2026
Mlada Boleslav
vs
12:00
Hradec Kralove
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Mlada Boleslav
42%
Draw
28%
Hradec Kralove
31%
Expected goals
1.49–1.22
Mlada Boleslav · Hradec Kralove
Mlada Boleslav win 42% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13.2%), 1–0 (8.6%), 2–1 (8.6%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 56% of simulations.
Those three cover 30% of outcomes; the other 70% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Mlada Boleslav score at least twice in 44%; Hradec Kralove in 35%.
Scoreline distribution
Hradec Kralove goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.7 | 7.4 | 5.0 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 8.6 | 13.2 | 7.7 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 7.3 | 8.6 | 5.5 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 3.7 | 4.4 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Mlada Boleslav goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 45% | 27% | 28% |
| Market reference | 42% | 28% | 31% |
| Metis Forecast | 42% | 28% | 31% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Mlada Boleslav
| 19 Sept | H | vs Zbrojovka Brno | 2–0 | W |
No recent results.
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.