Jablonec vs Slavia Prague — Czech First League forecast, Saturday, 31 October 2026
Jablonec
vs
14:00
Slavia Prague
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Jablonec
23%
Draw
24%
Slavia Prague
53%
Expected goals
1.10–1.55
Jablonec · Slavia Prague
Slavia Prague win 53% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 0–1 (13.1%), 1–2 (12.7%), 1–1 (11.5%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 54% of simulations.
Those three cover 37% of outcomes; the other 63% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Jablonec score at least twice in 29%; Slavia Prague in 48%.
Scoreline distribution
Slavia Prague goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.0 | 13.1 | 8.9 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 5.2 | 11.5 | 12.7 | 5.1 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 4.1 | 5.0 | 4.6 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Jablonec goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 41% | 28% | 31% |
| Market reference | 23% | 24% | 53% |
| Metis Forecast | 23% | 24% | 53% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.