Jablonec vs Mlada Boleslav — Czech First League forecast, Sunday, 8 November 2026
Jablonec
vs
14:00
Mlada Boleslav
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Jablonec
51%
Draw
25%
Mlada Boleslav
24%
Expected goals
1.67–1.15
Jablonec · Mlada Boleslav
Jablonec win 51% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11.9%), 2–1 (11.1%), 1–0 (10.3%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 57% of simulations.
Those three cover 33% of outcomes; the other 67% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
The most likely Jablonec win is 2–1 (11.1%).
Jablonec score at least twice in 51%; Mlada Boleslav in 32%.
Scoreline distribution
Mlada Boleslav goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.6 | 5.2 | 3.8 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 10.3 | 11.9 | 5.7 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 8.6 | 11.1 | 5.3 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 4.3 | 5.5 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: Jablonec goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 41% | 27% | 32% |
| Market reference | 51% | 25% | 24% |
| Metis Forecast | 51% | 25% | 24% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
Want the model's read each week? Subscribe for free.
Recent form
No recent results.
Mlada Boleslav
| 19 Sept | H | vs Zbrojovka Brno | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.