Hradec Kralove vs Sigma Olomouc — Czech First League forecast, Saturday, 7 November 2026
Hradec Kralove
vs
14:00
Sigma Olomouc
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Hradec Kralove
40%
Draw
27%
Sigma Olomouc
33%
Expected goals
1.42–1.31
Hradec Kralove · Sigma Olomouc
Hradec Kralove win 40% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12.8%), 2–1 (9.4%), 1–0 (9.0%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 56% of simulations.
Those three cover 31% of outcomes; the other 69% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Hradec Kralove score at least twice in 42%; Sigma Olomouc in 37%.
Scoreline distribution
Sigma Olomouc goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.3 | 7.1 | 5.6 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 9.0 | 12.7 | 7.4 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 6.7 | 9.4 | 5.5 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 3.0 | 4.2 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: Hradec Kralove goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 34% | 28% | 38% |
| Market reference | 40% | 27% | 33% |
| Metis Forecast | 40% | 27% | 33% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Sigma Olomouc
| 20 Sept | H | vs Sparta Praha | 0–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.