Hradec Kralove vs Jablonec — Czech First League forecast, Sunday, 25 October 2026
Czech First League·Sunday, 25 October 2026·12:00
Hradec Kralove
vs
12:00
Jablonec
Hradec KraloveExpected goalsJablonec
1.39 xG1.22 xG
Metis Forecast
Independent model — no market priceModel updated
Hradec Kralove
40%
Draw
28%
Jablonec
32%
Expected goals
1.39–1.22
Hradec Kralove · Jablonec
Hradec Kralove win 40% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13.5%), 1–0 (9.2%), 2–1 (8.7%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 54% of simulations.
Those three cover 31% of outcomes; the other 69% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Hradec Kralove score at least twice in 41%; Jablonec in 34%.
Scoreline distribution
Jablonec goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.3 | 7.9 | 5.4 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 9.2 | 13.5 | 7.6 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 7.1 | 8.7 | 5.3 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 3.3 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Hradec Kralove goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Both teams score54%
Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Over 4.5 goals12%
Team scoring & clean sheets
Hradec Kralove clean sheet30%
Jablonec clean sheet25%
Hradec Kralove score 2+41%
Jablonec score 2+34%
Hradec Kralove score 3+17%
Jablonec score 3+12%
Most likely scores
1–113.5%
1–09.2%
2–18.7%
0–08.3%
0–17.9%
1–27.6%
What changed overnight?
vs previous runHradec Kralove win43% → 40% ▼-2.9pp
Draw33% → 28% ▼-4.9pp
Jablonec win24% → 32% ▲+7.8pp
xG 1.46–1.11 → 1.39–1.22
Want the model's read each week? Subscribe for free.
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.