FK Jablonec vs Zlin — Czech First League result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 20 September 2026

Czech First League·Sunday, 20 September 2026·13:00

FK Jablonec

1 – 1

Zlin

FK JablonecExpected goalsZlin
1.99 xG0.88 xG

Metis pre-match forecast

Independent model — no market price

Frozen as published · 57.5 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.

FK Jablonec

64%

top pick

Draw

22%

result

Zlin

13%

Final score

1–1

Top pick missed

Metis gave the draw 22.4% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a FK Jablonec win. Expected goals 1.99–0.88 against 1–1 actual.

Forecast against the result

Over 2.5 goals55%2 scored
Both teams score51%yes
FK Jablonec clean sheet42%no
Zlin clean sheet14%no
FK Jablonec score 2+59%no
Zlin score 2+22%no

How this forecast scored

Ranked probability score0.2151
1X2 Brier score1.0319
Probability on the result22.4%

Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.

Most likely scores before kick-off: 2–0 (11.3%), 1–1 (10.7%), 1–0 (10.5%). It finished 1–1 — one of them.

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FK Jablonec

20 SeptHvs Zlin1–1D

Zlin

20 SeptAvs FK Jablonec1–1D

Head to head

No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.