Bohemians 1905 vs Sparta Prague — Czech First League forecast, Sunday, 1 November 2026
Bohemians 1905
vs
17:00
Sparta Prague
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Bohemians 1905
20%
Draw
23%
Sparta Prague
57%
Expected goals
1.02–1.55
Bohemians 1905 · Sparta Prague
Sparta Prague win 57% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 0–1 (15.5%), 1–2 (14.1%), 1–1 (11.0%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 52% of simulations.
Those three cover 41% of outcomes; the other 59% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Bohemians 1905 score at least twice in 26%; Sparta Prague in 48%.
Scoreline distribution
Sparta Prague goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.1 | 15.5 | 9.7 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 4.6 | 11.0 | 14.1 | 5.2 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 3.7 | 4.1 | 4.1 | 3.8 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Bohemians 1905 goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 44% | 28% | 28% |
| Market reference | 20% | 23% | 57% |
| Metis Forecast | 20% | 23% | 57% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Bohemians 1905
| 19 Sept | A | vs Pardubice | 1–2 | L |
No recent results.
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.