Bohemians 1905 vs Plzen — Czech First League forecast, Saturday, 21 November 2026
Bohemians 1905
vs
17:00
Plzen
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Bohemians 1905
26%
Draw
25%
Plzen
49%
Expected goals
1.08–1.56
Bohemians 1905 · Plzen
Plzen win 49% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11.8%), 0–1 (11.0%), 1–2 (10.1%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 52% of simulations.
Those three cover 33% of outcomes; the other 67% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
The most likely Plzen win is 0–1 (11.0%).
Bohemians 1905 score at least twice in 29%; Plzen in 47%.
Scoreline distribution
Plzen goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.4 | 11.0 | 9.0 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| 1 | 6.8 | 11.8 | 10.1 | 5.0 | 1.9 | 0.7 |
| 2 | 4.3 | 6.5 | 4.6 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Bohemians 1905 goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 27% | 28% | 45% |
| Market reference | 26% | 25% | 49% |
| Metis Forecast | 26% | 25% | 49% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Bohemians 1905
| 19 Sept | A | vs Pardubice | 1–2 | L |
Plzen
| 20 Sept | A | vs Slavia Praha | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.