Bohemians 1905 vs Banik Ostrava — Czech First League forecast, Saturday, 10 October 2026
Bohemians 1905
vs
16:00
Banik Ostrava
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Bohemians 1905
44%
Draw
26%
Banik Ostrava
31%
Expected goals
1.44–1.17
Bohemians 1905 · Banik Ostrava
Bohemians 1905 win 44% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12.2%), 1–0 (10.1%), 2–1 (9.3%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 53% of simulations.
Those three cover 32% of outcomes; the other 68% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
The most likely Bohemians 1905 win is 1–0 (10.1%).
Bohemians 1905 score at least twice in 42%; Banik Ostrava in 33%.
Scoreline distribution
Banik Ostrava goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.7 | 8.0 | 5.3 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 10.1 | 12.2 | 7.5 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.9 | 9.3 | 4.7 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 3.7 | 4.4 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Bohemians 1905 goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 42% | 28% | 30% |
| Market reference | 44% | 26% | 31% |
| Metis Forecast | 44% | 26% | 31% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Bohemians 1905
| 19 Sept | A | vs Pardubice | 1–2 | L |
No recent results.
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.