Banik Ostrava vs Viktoria Plzen — Czech First League forecast, Sunday, 1 November 2026
Banik Ostrava
vs
14:00
Viktoria Plzen
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Banik Ostrava
27%
Draw
26%
Viktoria Plzen
47%
Expected goals
1.19–1.49
Banik Ostrava · Viktoria Plzen
Viktoria Plzen win 47% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12.3%), 0–1 (11.2%), 1–2 (11.2%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 55% of simulations.
Those three cover 35% of outcomes; the other 65% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
The most likely Viktoria Plzen win is 0–1 (11.2%).
Banik Ostrava score at least twice in 33%; Viktoria Plzen in 45%.
Scoreline distribution
Viktoria Plzen goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.3 | 11.2 | 8.0 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 6.0 | 12.3 | 11.2 | 4.7 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 4.7 | 5.9 | 5.0 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 2.2 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Banik Ostrava goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 40% | 28% | 33% |
| Market reference | 27% | 26% | 47% |
| Metis Forecast | 27% | 26% | 47% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.