Artis vs FK Jablonec — Czech First League forecast, Saturday, 21 November 2026
Artis
vs
14:00
FK Jablonec
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Artis
26%
Draw
26%
FK Jablonec
48%
Expected goals
1.13–1.56
Artis · FK Jablonec
FK Jablonec win 48% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12.4%), 0–1 (10.2%), 1–2 (9.9%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 54% of simulations.
Those three cover 33% of outcomes; the other 67% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
The most likely FK Jablonec win is 0–1 (10.2%).
Artis score at least twice in 31%; FK Jablonec in 46%.
Scoreline distribution
FK Jablonec goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.5 | 10.2 | 8.4 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 | 6.6 | 12.4 | 9.9 | 4.9 | 1.8 | 0.7 |
| 2 | 4.4 | 6.6 | 5.0 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 1.7 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Artis goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 29% | 28% | 44% |
| Market reference | 26% | 26% | 48% |
| Metis Forecast | 26% | 26% | 48% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Recent form
Artis
| 19 Sept | H | vs Slovan Liberec | 0–0 | D |
FK Jablonec
| 20 Sept | H | vs Zlin | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.