Kaiserslautern vs Braunschweig — 2. Bundesliga result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 19 September 2026

2. Bundesliga·Saturday, 19 September 2026

Metis pre-match forecast

Market-anchored distribution

Frozen as published · 7.4 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.

1. FC Kaiserslautern

49%

pick · result

Draw

24%

Braunschweig

27%

Final score

1–0

Top pick landed

Metis gave a 1. FC Kaiserslautern win 48.9% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a 1. FC Kaiserslautern win. Expected goals 1.86–1.29 against 1–0 actual.

Forecast against the result

Over 2.5 goals61%1 scored
Both teams score62%no
1. FC Kaiserslautern clean sheet27%yes
Braunschweig clean sheet16%no
1. FC Kaiserslautern score 2+55%no
Braunschweig score 2+37%no

How this forecast scored

Ranked probability score0.1657
1X2 Brier score0.3913
Probability on the result48.9%

Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.

Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (11.2%), 2–1 (8.9%), 2–0 (7.3%). It finished 1–0.

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Kaiserslautern

8 AugAvs Wolfsburg0–0D
15 AugHvs Karlsruhe0–0D
30 AugAvs St Pauli2–1W
5 SeptHvs Darmstadt3–0W
12 SeptAvs Magdeburg0–3L

Braunschweig

8 AugAvs Magdeburg6–1W
14 AugHvs Bochum0–1L
28 AugHvs Hertha3–5L
6 SeptAvs Osnabruck1–3L
12 SeptHvs Dresden2–2D

Head to head

No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.

Model context

StatKaiserslautern
(Home · 5 matches)
Braunschweig
(Away · 5 matches)
BTTS rate0.0%60.0%
Over 2.5 rate40.0%60.0%
Clean sheet80.0%0.0%
Avg goals1.803.60

Home stats use Kaiserslautern's home record; away stats use Braunschweig's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.