Hannover vs Bochum — 2. Bundesliga result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 20 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 3.1 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Hannover
52%
pick · result
Draw
24%
Bochum
24%
Final score
2–1
Top pick landed
Metis gave a Hannover win 52.2% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Hannover win. Expected goals 1.91–1.25 against 2–1 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (10.9%), 2–1 (9.8%), 2–0 (7.8%). It finished 2–1 — one of them.
Want the model's read each week? Subscribe for free.
Recent form
Hannover
| 9 Aug | A | vs Cottbus | 1–3 | L |
| 16 Aug | H | vs Wolfsburg | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Darmstadt | 1–0 | W |
| 4 Sept | H | vs Karlsruhe | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Sept | A | vs Nurnberg | 1–2 | L |
Bochum
| 7 Aug | H | vs Hertha | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Aug | A | vs Braunschweig | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Aug | H | vs Osnabruck | 0–1 | L |
| 5 Sept | A | vs Dresden | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sept | H | vs Greuther Furth | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Hannover (Home · 5 matches) | Bochum (Away · 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 80.0% | 60.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 60.0% | 60.0% |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | 20.0% |
| Avg goals | 2.60 | 2.40 |
Home stats use Hannover's home record; away stats use Bochum's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.