Darmstadt vs Hannover — 2. Bundesliga result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 30 August 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 3.6 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Darmstadt
31%
Draw
25%
Hannover
44%
pick · result
Final score
0–1
Top pick landed
Metis gave a Hannover win 43.6% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Hannover win. Expected goals 1.42–1.58 against 0–1 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (11.8%), 1–2 (10.5%), 0–1 (8.2%). It finished 0–1 — one of them.
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Darmstadt
| 8 Aug | H | vs Holstein Kiel | 2–2 | D |
| 16 Aug | A | vs Dresden | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Hannover | 0–1 | L |
| 5 Sept | A | vs Kaiserslautern | 0–3 | L |
| 11 Sept | H | vs Bielefeld | 2–1 | W |
Hannover
| 9 Aug | A | vs Cottbus | 1–3 | L |
| 16 Aug | H | vs Wolfsburg | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Darmstadt | 1–0 | W |
| 4 Sept | H | vs Karlsruhe | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Sept | A | vs Nurnberg | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Darmstadt (Home · 3 matches) | Hannover (Away · 3 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 66.7% | 66.7% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 66.7% | 66.7% |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | 33.3% |
| Avg goals | 2.67 | 2.67 |
Home stats use Darmstadt's home record; away stats use Hannover's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.